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Superforecasting – Philip E. Tetlock & Dan Gardner

Superforecasting (2015) delves into the art and science of predicting the future, highlighting how... View more

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Superforecasting (2015) delves into the art and science of predicting the future, highlighting how most individuals, even experts, often falter in their forecasting abilities. Through captivating stories of successes and failures, as well as interviews with high-profile decision-makers, it unveils the secrets behind effective forecasting: a combination of evidence-based thinking, probabilistic reasoning, accountability, and adaptability.

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